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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-0 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambuur | Draw | Heerenveen |
21.6% ( -0.08) | 24.09% ( -0.04) | 54.31% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 50.68% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.72% ( 0.08) | 50.27% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.77% ( 0.07) | 72.22% ( -0.07) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.12% ( -0.03) | 37.87% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.35% ( -0.03) | 74.65% ( 0.03) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.58% ( 0.08) | 18.41% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.43% ( 0.13) | 49.57% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Cambuur | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 21.6% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 20 |
15 | Heracles | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 19 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |