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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Cambuur | 5 | -4 | 4 |
13 | Emmen | 4 | -6 | 4 |
14 | FC Volendam | 5 | -12 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | FC Twente | 5 | 8 | 12 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Heerenveen | 4 | 5 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
Emmen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
31.64% ( 0.2) | 25.03% ( 0.2) | 43.33% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 56.41% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% ( -0.81) | 46.87% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% ( -0.76) | 69.12% ( 0.76) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.98% ( -0.27) | 28.02% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.33% ( -0.34) | 63.67% ( 0.34) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.37% ( -0.52) | 21.63% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.25% ( -0.81) | 54.75% ( 0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Emmen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.64% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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