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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Vitesse |
72.81% ( -1.6) | 14.76% ( 0.92) | 12.42% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 64.78% ( -1.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.83% ( -3) | 23.16% ( 3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.52% ( -4.15) | 42.48% ( 4.14) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.41% ( -0.9) | 5.58% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.31% ( -2.66) | 21.69% ( 2.65) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% ( -1.44) | 31.38% ( 1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.25% ( -1.7) | 67.75% ( 1.69) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.72) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.76) 3-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.33) 5-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.4) 5-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.22) 5-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.32) 6-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.3) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.2) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.19) 6-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.22) Other @ 4.27% Total : 72.81% | 1-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.35) Other @ 0.44% Total : 14.76% | 1-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.62% Total : 12.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |