MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 00:28:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Go Ahead Eagles

Ajax
1 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles

Gaaei (24')
Hato (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kuipers (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax
Sunday, March 31 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles

With both clubs getting back to form at the weekend, this could prove to be an entertaining and competitive tussle. However, we feel that Ajax may just edge this contest, aware of the necessity of getting over the line in what feels like one of their most notable remaining matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawGo Ahead Eagles
59.98% (0.207 0.21) 20.23% (-0.151 -0.15) 19.79% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.91% (0.464 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.56% (0.64299999999999 0.64)35.44% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.53% (0.709 0.71)57.47% (-0.709 -0.71)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45% (0.253 0.25)11.55% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.52% (0.544 0.54)36.48% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (0.32599999999999 0.33)31.14% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (0.379 0.38)67.47% (-0.376 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 59.98%
    Go Ahead Eagles 19.79%
    Draw 20.23%
AjaxDrawGo Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 7.03% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.065 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.8% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.025 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 59.98%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.6% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.23%
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.2% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 19.79%

How you voted: Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles

Ajax
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Go Ahead Eagles
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 17
Go Ahead Eagles
2-3
Ajax
Edvardsen (44'), Kramer (58')
Brobbey (27'), Tahirovic (45+4'), Rensch (72')
Hlynsson (53'), Medic (55')
Aug 14, 2023 1pm
Club Friendlies
Ajax
0-1
Go Ahead Eagles
Baeten (34')
Apr 2, 2023 11.15am
Oct 1, 2022 7pm
Feb 27, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
Go Ahead Eagles
2-1
Ajax
Cordoba (18'), Rommens (45+2')
Martina (41')
Berghuis (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV21162368234550
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2112634033742
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard217592938-926
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2182112636-1026
10Heerenveen2174102338-1525
11NECNijmegen2073103128324
12PEC Zwolle216692632-624
13Willem II206592428-423
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles214982437-1321
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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