Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Bolton Wanderers and Crewe Alexandra.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Exeter City | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Bolton Wanderers | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Accrington Stanley | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Northampton Town | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Crewe Alexandra | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Mansfield Town | 6 | 1 | 9 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
58.71% ( -0.01) | 21.82% ( -0) | 19.47% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
