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Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barrow

Bolton
3 - 2
Barrow

Afolayan (23'), Dadi Bodvarsson (38'), Kachunga (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kay (42'), Canavan (56')
Neal (18'), Ray (73'), Kay (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barrow

There is very little separating the teams ahead of this one, and the contest could easily swing either way. However, we just about fancy the hosts to rise to the occasion and carry the day in front of an expectant home support come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarrow
52.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.34% (0.0010000000000012 0) 23.15% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)49.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.31% (-0.004999999999999 -0)71.68% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.35% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)36.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.83% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 52.51%
    Barrow 23.15%
    Draw 24.33%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 9.46%
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.26%
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.51%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.91%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 23.15%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barrow

Bolton Wanderers
76.9%
Barrow
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Bolton
1-0
Barrow
Miller (90+4')

Brough (43'), Dixon (65')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Barrow
3-3
Bolton
Taylor (1'), Jones (4'), Angus (20')
Jones (45+4'), Yoan Zouma (57'), Barry (66'), Brown (90+3')
Kioso (16'), Doyle (41'), Sarcevic (90+5')
Brockbank (28'), Comley (56')
rhs 2.0
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