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Coupe de France | Round of 16
Mar 17, 2021 at 4.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lille

PSG
3 - 0
Lille

Icardi (9'), Mbappe (41' pen., 90+3')
Rafinha (3'), Gueye (64'), Mbappe (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bradaric (18'), Djalo (40'), Xeka (44'), Ikone (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lille had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
52.74%24.08%23.18%
Both teams to score 52.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44%48.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.31%70.68%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63%18.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5%49.49%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59%35.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83%72.16%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 52.73%
    Lille 23.18%
    Draw 24.08%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 9.34%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 52.73%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 6.5%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.75%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: PSG vs Lille

Paris Saint-Germain
69.8%
Draw
17.4%
Lille
12.8%
265
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 16
Lille
0-0
PSG
Jan 26, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 21
Lille
0-2
PSG

Mandava (10'), Andre (38'), Gabriel (51')
Neymar (28', 52')
Gueye (81')
Nov 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
PSG
2-0
Lille
Apr 14, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 32
Lille
5-1
PSG
Meunier (7' og.), Pepe (51'), Bamba (65'), Gabriel (71'), Fonte (84')
Mendes (45')
Bernat (11')
Mbappe (45'), Draxler (77'), Verratti (81')
Bernat (36')
Nov 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
PSG
2-1
Lille
Mbappe (70'), Neymar (84')
Bernat (19'), Verratti (54')
Pepe (90' pen.)
Ballo-Toure (1'), Mendes (46'), Celik (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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