Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
55.72% | 24.64% | 19.63% |
Both teams to score 46.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.37% | 54.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.03% | 75.96% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.47% | 19.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.57% | 51.43% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.57% | 42.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.19% | 78.81% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 13.53% 2-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 5.16% 4-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.81% Total : 55.72% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.11% 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |