Coppa Italia | Second Round
Oct 19, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Spezia3 - 1Brescia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Cremonese
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Brescia
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Spezia 2-1 Brescia
The last time the two sides met, it ended in a 4-4 draw back in 2019 in Serie B, and even though both sides recorded big wins in the first round, any sort of repeat looks unlikely. Not many league places separate the sides, despite them being in different divisions, but Spezia's top-flight quality may just be enough to see off a Brescia side struggling for confidence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Brescia |
34.47% ( 0) | 24.58% ( 0) | 40.95% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 58.91% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
