Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Danubio and Emelec.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Danubio
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Emelec 2-1 Cuenca
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Emelec win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Emelec |
37.67% ( 0.08) | 28.86% ( -0.07) | 33.46% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.1% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
