Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 10, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio George Capwell
Emelec2 - 1Cuenca
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mancinelli (49' pen.)
Recalde (38'), Rinaldi (45'), Melo (58'), Biojo (60'), Lopez (90+7')
Recalde (38'), Rinaldi (45'), Melo (58'), Biojo (60'), Lopez (90+7')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Emelec and Deportivo Cuenca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 67.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Deportivo Cuenca had a probability of 12.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.72%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Deportivo Cuenca win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emelec would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emelec | Draw | Deportivo Cuenca |
67.48% ( -0.38) | 20.44% ( 0.19) | 12.08% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 42.25% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
