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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Gremio
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Estudiantes

Gremio
1 - 1
Estudiantes

Cristaldo (48')
Ely (15'), Pedro (84'), Kannemann (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendez (83')
Correa (9'), Benedetti (23'), Cetre (70'), Zuqui (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa Libertadores clash between Gremio and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Huachipato 0-1 Gremio
Wednesday, June 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, June 4 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Gremio 2-1 Estudiantes

 After losing their opening two games, Gremio have found some form, winning three on the trot. They should be too strong for the weakest team in the group, so we expect a victory for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawEstudiantes
49.35% (-0.144 -0.14) 26.03% (0.087 0.09) 24.61% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.41% (-0.191 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (-0.278 -0.28)55.01% (0.275 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (-0.23 -0.23)76.28% (0.22699999999999 0.23)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)22.33% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19% (-0.271 -0.27)55.8% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.33% (-0.102 -0.1)37.67% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.55% (-0.1 -0.1)74.45% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 49.35%
    Estudiantes 24.61%
    Draw 26.03%
GremioDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.61% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 49.35%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.21% (0.065 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 24.61%

How you voted: Gremio vs Estudiantes

Gremio
68.4%
Draw
21.1%
Estudiantes
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Estudiantes
0-1
Gremio

Palacios (23'), Perez (59')
Ribeiro (75')
Cristaldo (32'), Galdino (36'), Villasanti (45+2'), Marchesin (68'), Pedro (69'), Da Silva (90')
Villasanti (66')
Aug 29, 2018 1.45am
Round of 16
Gremio
2-1
Estudiantes
(Aggregate 1-1 | Gremio win 5-3 on penalties)
Everton (6'), Alisson (92')
Souza (22'), Ramiro (45'), Moura (47'), Alisson (93'), Andre (94')
Rodriguez (9')
Sanchez (46'), Luguercio (64'), Campi (65'), Lattanzio (73'), Brana (85')
Aug 8, 2018 1.45am
Round of 16
Estudiantes
2-1
Gremio
Apaolaza (9'), Campi (38')
Rodriguez (24'), Zuqui (33'), Erquiaga (58'), Sanchez (68')
Zuqui (77')
Kannemann (44')
Kannemann (30'), Souza (33')
rhs 2.0
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