Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio1 - 1Estudiantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Huachipato 0-1 Gremio
Wednesday, June 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, June 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, June 4 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, June 4 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
We said: Gremio 2-1 Estudiantes
After losing their opening two games, Gremio have found some form, winning three on the trot. They should be too strong for the weakest team in the group, so we expect a victory for the home side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Estudiantes |
49.35% ( -0.14) | 26.03% ( 0.09) | 24.61% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% ( -0.28) | 55.01% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( -0.23) | 76.28% ( 0.23) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( -0.18) | 22.33% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.19% ( -0.27) | 55.8% ( 0.27) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.33% ( -0.1) | 37.67% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.55% ( -0.1) | 74.45% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 49.35%
Estudiantes 24.61%
Draw 26.03%
| Gremio | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 49.35% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 24.61% |
How you voted: Gremio vs Estudiantes
Gremio
68.4%Draw
21.1%Estudiantes
10.5%19
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Estudiantes
0-1
Gremio
Palacios (23'), Perez (59')
Ribeiro (75')
Cristaldo (32'), Galdino (36'), Villasanti (45+2'), Marchesin (68'), Pedro (69'), Da Silva (90')
Villasanti (66')
Cristaldo (32'), Galdino (36'), Villasanti (45+2'), Marchesin (68'), Pedro (69'), Da Silva (90')
Villasanti (66')
Aug 29, 2018 1.45am
Form Guide
