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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Watford |
38.4% ( 0.01) | 27.49% ( -0.06) | 34.11% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.59% ( 0.23) | 56.41% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.58% ( 0.19) | 77.43% ( -0.19) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.49% ( 0.12) | 28.51% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.72% ( 0.15) | 64.28% ( -0.15) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.85% ( 0.15) | 31.15% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.52% ( 0.17) | 67.48% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.4% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Burnley | 30 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 58 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 44 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 42 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 41 |
12 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Millwall | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 38 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 34 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 32 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 31 |
20 | Portsmouth | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Hull City | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
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