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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Middlesbrough |
38.46% ( -0.13) | 27.18% ( 0.16) | 34.36% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.21% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.81% ( -0.62) | 55.19% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.57% ( -0.51) | 76.43% ( 0.51) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% ( -0.37) | 27.89% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.5% ( -0.47) | 63.5% ( 0.47) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% ( -0.32) | 30.38% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( -0.38) | 66.57% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.45% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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