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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Stoke logo

Preston
1 - 2
Stoke

Osmajic (68')
Whiteman (21'), McCann (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hughes (64' og.), McNally (87')
Burger (21'), Hoever (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Stoke
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 2-1 Stoke City

Preston are enjoying their longest unbeaten run since the beginning of the campaign and will be raring to go after Wednesday night's postponement in Southampton. Stoke face another daunting away trip following their visit to Leeds on Tuesday, and we feel that the Potters will struggle to match the Lilywhites physically at Deepdale, resulting in defeat for Schumacher's charges. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
38.31% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 25.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 36.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.98% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)46.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08% (0.023 0.02)68.92% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.025000000000006 0.03)24.02% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.034999999999997 0.03)58.27% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32%59.68%
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 38.31%
    Stoke City 36.47%
    Draw 25.21%
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 0.94%
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.47%

How you voted: Preston vs Stoke

Preston North End
70.0%
Draw
15.0%
Stoke City
15.0%
60
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-2
Preston

Pearson (1'), Stevens (63'), Laurent (90+6')
Keane (51' pen., 57')
Lindsay (24'), Frokjaer-Jensen (45+1'), Holmes (63'), Browne (67')
Jan 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
0-1
Preston
Evans (90+3')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Preston
0-2
Stoke
Smallbone (58'), Campbell (66')
Jan 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Preston
Wilmot (46')
Allen (64'), Doughty (79'), Ince (90+4')
Potts (59'), Hughes (81')
Hughes (49'), Ledson (90+1')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Preston
1-1
Stoke
Whiteman (38')
Cunningham (31'), Riis Jakobsen (88')
Powell (6')
Skiri Oestigaard (25'), Wilmot (83'), Tymon (90'), Clucas (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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