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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
QPR logo

Stoke
1 - 0
QPR

Burger (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayden (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Stoke defender Wilmot said that the Potters' dressing room is not a nice place to be amid their recent struggles - an admission that does not bode well ahead of a relegation six-pointer on Wednesday. QPR have been boosted by a number of additions in the January window, and we believe that the R's will escape the bottom three with a win in Staffordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
36.67% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 27.68% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 35.64% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.77% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (0.041000000000004 0.04)57.05% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)77.94% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (0.061000000000007 0.06)29.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07% (0.071999999999996 0.07)65.93% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)30.49% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 36.67%
    Queens Park Rangers 35.64%
    Draw 27.67%
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Stoke vs QPR

Stoke City
21.6%
Draw
9.9%
Queens Park Rangers
68.5%
111
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
QPR
4-2
Stoke
Dykes (11' pen., 79'), Pearson (89' og.), Willock (90+4')
Colback (86'), Begovic (90+6')
Mmaee (45'), Burger (59')
Stevens (10'), Burger (19'), Campbell (56'), Mmaee (56'), Gooch (74'), Johnson (81')
Stevens (53')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Stoke
0-1
QPR
Adomah (48')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
QPR
0-0
Stoke
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stoke
1-0
QPR
Brown (45+1')

Dunne (13')
Dec 5, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
QPR
0-2
Stoke
Campbell (14'), Vrancic (78')
Fox (53')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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