Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 4pm UK
Gradska Plaza Stadium
Struga1 - 2Zalgiris
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Struga 0-1 FK Zalgiris
While Struga managed to hold on to a draw in the first leg, they were noticeably outplayed for the majority of the match, and they will likely be on the defensive for much of this match as well. At home, the hosts should put on a good showing, but we feel that the visitors will just edge past them by a single goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 77.16%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Struga had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.19%) and 0-3 (11.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Struga win it was 1-0 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Struga | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
7.47% ( 0.01) | 15.37% ( 0.01) | 77.16% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.61% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
