Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 2, 2022 at 6pm UK
Bolshaya Sportivnaya Arena
Sheriff Tiraspol1 - 2Plzen
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-1 Viktoria Plzen
Sheriff may not have dazzled and delighted on the attacking front so far, but their steadfast defending is sure to serve them well against a Plzen side whose own talents certainly lie in the final third. Both sides may be carrying a bit of fatigue after returning to league action at the weekend, and Plzen were very fortunate to even come away with a point in their game, so we can anticipate the resilient Moldovans holding on for a first-leg draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Viktoria Plzen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Viktoria Plzen |
36.47% ( 0.02) | 25.02% ( -0.01) | 38.51% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.65% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
