We say: Sheriff Tiraspol 2-0 SSC Farul
While the hosts lost the first leg, they dominated almost every aspect of the match except for the scoreline. Having had a full week to assess where they went wrong in that match, we expect Bordin's men to bounce back in style here and secure their qualification to round two.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for SSC Farul had a probability of 13.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.94%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a SSC Farul win it was 0-1 (5.73%).