We say: Larne 0-1 HJK Helsinki (HJK Helsinki to win 2-0 on aggregate)
The hosts were outplayed for the most part in the first leg, and while they should put on a better showing at home, it seems unlikely that they will be able to overturn this tie.
The visitors will prioritse keeping a clean sheet here, and if they get an early goal, we can see them sitting back and holding on to their lead to take their place in the next round.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Larne had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%).