MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:50:01| >> :60:17:17:
Larne
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Inver Park
HJK logo

Larne
2 - 2
HJK Helsinki

Bonis (65' pen.), Thomson (87')
Donnelly (47'), Bonis (73'), Want (110')
FT
(aet)
Ollila (26'), Want (96' og.)
Raitala (64'), Tenho (74'), Ollila (79'), Radulovic (107')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Larne and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League

We say: Larne 0-1 HJK Helsinki (HJK Helsinki to win 2-0 on aggregate)

The hosts were outplayed for the most part in the first leg, and while they should put on a better showing at home, it seems unlikely that they will be able to overturn this tie. The visitors will prioritse keeping a clean sheet here, and if they get an early goal, we can see them sitting back and holding on to their lead to take their place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Larne had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%).

Result
LarneDrawHJK Helsinki
29.27% (0.0019999999999989 0) 28.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 42.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 44.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)61.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)37.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.73% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)64.57%
Score Analysis
    Larne 29.26%
    HJK Helsinki 42.19%
    Draw 28.53%
LarneDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 6.51%
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 29.26%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 13.34%
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-3 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.08%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 42.19%

How you voted: Larne vs HJK Helsinki

Larne
21.8%
Draw
16.4%
HJK Helsinki
61.8%
55
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2023 5pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
HJK Helsinki
1-0
Larne
Radulovic (3' pen.)
Tenho (28')

Bolger (31'), Cosgrove (46'), Want (89'), Donnelly (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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