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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview
Larne

Crusaders
0 - 2
Larne


Forsythe (6'), Thompson (34'), Lowry (38')
Joe Burns (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ryan (12'), Bonis (62')
Glynn (31'), Cosgrove (43'), Donnelly (61')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Coleraine
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 0-2 Larne
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Larne had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawLarne
40.8% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 27.66% (-0.119 -0.12) 31.53% (0.087999999999997 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.06% (0.375 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.41% (0.46 0.46)57.59% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.64% (0.363 0.36)78.36% (-0.358 -0.36)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (0.238 0.24)27.71% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (0.303 0.3)63.27% (-0.298 -0.3)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.303 0.3)33.52% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (0.328 0.33)70.16% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 40.8%
    Larne 31.53%
    Draw 27.66%
CrusadersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.8%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.53%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Larne
0-0
Crusaders

Bonis (35'), O'Neill (50'), Glynn (63'), Want (84')

Joe Burns (17'), Caddell (35'), Hegarty (50'), Thompson (73')
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Larne
4-1
Crusaders
Bonis (9', 35'), Millar (14'), O'Neill (19')
Bolger (48')
Lowry (90+2')
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-1
Larne
Lowry (65')
(45+1'), Joe Burns (51'), Forsythe (57')
Millar (80')
Cosgrove (39'), Randall (57'), Bonis (90+3')
Randall (59')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Crusaders
1-2
Larne
Wilson (89')
McDaid (59', 72')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Larne
1-2
Crusaders
Jarvis (74')
(45'), (59'), (66')
Larmour (68'), Lecky (82')
(59'), (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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