Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Aug 2, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Castelao
Ceara3 - 1Fortaleza
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 43.59% | 27.59% | 28.81% |
| Both teams to score 47.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
