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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
Oct 1, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
Independiente

Tigre
1 - 1
Independiente

Monzon (52')
Maroni (31'), Ramirez (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Avalos (24')
Gonzalez (17'), Perez (21')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Tigre and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Tigre
Saturday, September 21 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Sunday, September 22 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 35.02%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-0 (13.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
TigreDrawIndependiente
34.5% (0.259 0.26) 30.49% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 35.02% (-0.331 -0.33)
Both teams to score 40.87% (-0.187 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.41% (-0.223 -0.22)66.6% (0.23 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.01% (-0.15 -0.15)84.99% (0.158 0.16)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.75% (0.059000000000005 0.06)36.25% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97% (0.058 0.06)73.03% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11% (-0.34899999999999 -0.35)35.89% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (-0.361 -0.36)72.66% (0.369 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Tigre 34.5%
    Independiente 35.02%
    Draw 30.47%
TigreDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 13.2% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.32% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.27% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 34.5%
1-1 @ 13.52%
0-0 @ 13% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 30.47%
0-1 @ 13.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.83% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 35.02%

Head to Head
May 13, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Independiente
2-1
Tigre
Vallejo (5'), Cauteruccio (90+5')
Baez (45'), Martinez (66')
Retegui (31' pen.)
Luciatti (49'), Menossi (70'), Colidio (80'), Armoa (83')
Oct 9, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 24
Tigre
2-1
Independiente
Armoa (17', 20')
Sonora (31')
Apr 9, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 9
Independiente
1-1
Tigre
Benegas (35' pen.)
Batallini (28'), Blanco (69'), Benegas (69')
Retegui (90+6' pen.)
Cabrera (17'), Demartini (44')
Sep 28, 2018 10.45pm
Gameweek 7
Independiente
0-0
Tigre
Benavidez (32'), Barreto (64'), Romero (74')
Ortiz (33'), Prediger (47'), Caire (80')
rhs 2.0
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