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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Jul 6, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 0
Colon

de la Cruz (37'), Beltran (61')
Barco (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garces (19'), Abila (58'), Vega (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Colon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colon 0-4 Racing
Sunday, July 2 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: River Plate 2-0 Colon

Colon have not won any of their last five away matches and failed to score in four of them, while the champions-elect are on an eight-match winning streak at home and have kept six clean sheets during that run. With such contrasting forms, it is unsurprising that the hosts are the clear favourites coming into this match, and we expect that they will record a fairly straightforward win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 81.27%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 5.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.62%) and 3-0 (13.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
River PlateDrawColon
81.27% (-0.197 -0.2) 13.63% (0.124 0.12) 5.1% (0.071 0.07)
Both teams to score 33.04% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (-0.238 -0.24)45.02% (0.237 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (-0.23 -0.23)67.38% (0.229 0.23)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.21% (-0.104 -0.1)8.79% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.84% (-0.253 -0.25)30.16% (0.252 0.25)
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.23% (0.099000000000004 0.1)63.78% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)92.46% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 81.25%
    Colon 5.1%
    Draw 13.63%
River PlateDrawColon
2-0 @ 16.57% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 13.62% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 13.43% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 8.17% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 3.97% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.61% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 81.25%
1-1 @ 6.13% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 1.68% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 13.63%
0-1 @ 2.52% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 1.38% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 5.1%

How you voted: River Plate vs Colon

River Plate
86.7%
Draw
13.3%
Colon
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Jun 15, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Colon
1-0
River Plate
Abila (72')
Acevedo (60')
Jul 18, 2021 10pm
Second Phase
River Plate
1-2
Colon
Suarez (90+1')
Rojas (28'), Vigo (42'), Carrascal (54')
Aliendro (3'), Goez (34')
Farias (9')
Piovi (14')
Apr 12, 2021 1am
Oct 30, 2019 12.20am
Gameweek 11
River Plate
2-1
Colon
De La Cruz (53'), Borre (64')
Perez (25'), Martinez (30')
Martinez (80' og.)
Aliendro (40')
Oct 20, 2018 1.15am
Gameweek 9
Colon
1-0
River Plate
Bueno (76')
Lionel Fritzler (83')

Perez (63'), Borre (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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9.05pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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