Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 22, 2023 at 11.45pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate3 - 1Instituto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Defensa
Sunday, June 18 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 18 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 1-1 Racing
Tuesday, June 13 at 1.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, June 13 at 1.45am in Argentine Primera Division
We said: River Plate 2-0 Instituto
River's last three games at El Monumental have ended in one-goal victories, and while Demichelis's men may not be blowing teams away, they should secure a routine win over Instituto. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 7.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 3-0 (11.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Instituto |
76.44% ( -6.81) | 15.83% ( 4.01) | 7.72% ( 2.81) |
| Both teams to score 40.26% ( 2.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
