Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Polissya Zhytomyr	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
48.38% ( -0.26)	25.75% ( 0.08)	25.87% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 50.37% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.99% (

-0.18)

53.01% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.4% (

-0.15)

74.6% (

0.15)

Polissya Zhytomyr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.07% (

-0.19)

21.92% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.81% (

-0.29)

55.19% (

0.29)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.51% (

0.06)

35.48% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.75% (

0.06)

72.25% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Polissya Zhytomyr 48.38%

Zorya Luhansk 25.87%

Draw 25.75%

Polissya Zhytomyr	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 48.38%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 25.87%