MX23RW : Saturday, May 18 15:14:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej

Warta Poznan
5 - 2
Stal Mielec

Matuszewski (7'), Zreľak (38', 46', 71'), Szymonowicz (49')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jaunzems (17'), Shkurin (45+1')
Pingot (48')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-0 Korona Kielce
Friday, April 12 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Widzew Lodz
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warta Poznan would win this match.

Result
Warta PoznanDrawStal Mielec
45.89% (-0.189 -0.19) 28.04% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 26.07% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 44.18% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92% (-0.184 -0.18)61.08% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.94% (-0.139 -0.14)81.05% (0.136 0.14)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.182 -0.18)26.65% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.24 -0.24)61.9% (0.237 0.24)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.76% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)76.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Warta Poznan 45.88%
    Stal Mielec 26.07%
    Draw 28.03%
Warta PoznanDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 14.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.88%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.59% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 26.07%

How you voted: Warta Poznan vs Stal Mielec

Warta Poznan
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Stal Mielec
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Stal Mielec
0-1
Warta Poznan

Domanski (22'), Ehmann (70')
Luis (75')
Zurawski (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia32178773442959
2Slask Wroclaw32169746301657
3Legia WarsawLegia321411748381053
4Gornik ZabrzeGornik33158104540553
5Pogon SzczecinSzczecin331571158382052
6Rakow CzestochowaRakow321410853351852
7Lech Poznan32141084538752
8Zaglebie Lubin32128124047-744
9Stal Mielec331110124045-543
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice3291583733442
11Widzew Lodz32126144144-342
12Radomiak Radom32108144053-1338
13Warta Poznan32910133339-637
14Puszcza Niepolomice33813123849-1137
15KS CracoviaCracovia32715104344-136
16Korona Kielce33714123843-535
17Ruch Chorzow33514143855-1729
18LKS Lodz3256213071-4121


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