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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 18, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Rangers logo

Hearts
3 - 3
Rangers

Shankland (33'), Lembikisa (82'), Tagawa (90+5')
Rowles (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McCausland (52'), Cantwell (69'), Silva (79')
Dowell (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Hearts
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 5-2 Dundee
Tuesday, May 14 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-2 Rangers

An entertaining end-to-end contest could on the cards between these two teams in what is now a dead-rubber fixture. You could argue that Rangers are still favourites to come out on top even without anything riding on this clash, but we believe that Hearts will give the Tynecastle faithful something to cheer and may find a way to claim at least a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRangers
26.27% (-1.933 -1.93) 22.44% (0.067 0.07) 51.29% (1.873 1.87)
Both teams to score 61.68% (-1.994 -1.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72% (-1.88 -1.88)38.28% (1.888 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44% (-2.027 -2.03)60.56% (2.036 2.04)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-2.311 -2.31)27.33% (2.318 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (-3.1 -3.1)62.79% (3.109 3.11)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)15.12% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.31% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)43.69% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 26.27%
    Rangers 51.29%
    Draw 22.43%
HeartsDrawRangers
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.282 -0.28)
1-0 @ 5.36% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.48% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.325 -0.33)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 26.27%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.362 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.212 0.21)
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.672 0.67)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.624 0.62)
1-3 @ 6.02% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 4.64% (0.386 0.39)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.85% (0.054 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.19% (0.179 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.08% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 51.29%

How you voted: Hearts vs Rangers

Hearts
20.5%
Draw
33.3%
Rangers
46.2%
39
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 3pm
Semi-Finals
Rangers
2-0
Hearts
Dessers (5', 78')
Souttar (59'), Raskin (82')

Devlin (59'), Tait (82')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Rangers
5-0
Hearts
Diomande (2'), Cortes (37'), Dessers (44', 48'), Silva (65')
Souttar (41'), Raskin (78')

Shankland (45+2'), Tait (88')
Dec 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Hearts
0-1
Rangers

Vargas (51'), Cochrane (63'), Forrest (90+1')
Sima (34')
Yilmaz (69')
Nov 5, 2023 3pm
Semi-Finals
Hearts
1-3
Rangers
Shankland (81' pen.)
Kingsley (45+3'), Rowles (63'), Devlin (88'), Denholm (90+1')
Kingsley (79')
Tavernier (50' pen., 64'), Wright (55')
Cantwell (29')
Oct 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Rangers
2-1
Hearts
Tavernier (90' pen.), Danilo (90+3')
Lundstram (31')
Shankland (5')
Offiah (15'), Cochrane (72'), Haring (89'), Vargas (90+8'), Forrest (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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