Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36

May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
3 - 0
Dundee

Vargas (35'), Forrest (53'), Shankland (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bakayoko (45+3'), McCowan (57'), Donnelly (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Celtic 3-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dundee

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee 1-3 St Mirren
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Having failed to score in the last three matches, it is unlikely that Shankland stays quiet for much longer, meaning that Hearts have a good chance of victory on Saturday. Dundee's exceptional season is beginning to peter out, and we are expecting a third straight loss in the Premiership for the Dark Blues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Dundee
53.09% ( -0.26)	22.56% ( 0.07)	24.35% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 59.17% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.32% (

-0.16)

40.68% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.93% (

-0.16)

63.07% (

0.16)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.63% (

-0.15)

15.37% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.85% (

-0.27)

44.14% (

0.27)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91% (

0.07)

30.09% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.77% (

0.08)

66.23% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Hearts 53.09%

Dundee 24.35%

Draw 22.56%

Hearts	Draw	Dundee
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 53.09%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.35%