Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Dundee |
53.09% ( -0.26) | 22.56% ( 0.07) | 24.35% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 59.17% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.32% ( -0.16) | 40.68% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.93% ( -0.16) | 63.07% ( 0.16) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% ( -0.15) | 15.37% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.85% ( -0.27) | 44.14% ( 0.27) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.91% ( 0.07) | 30.09% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.77% ( 0.08) | 66.23% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Dundee |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 53.09% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |