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Celtic logo
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St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Dundee logo

Hearts
3 - 0
Dundee

Vargas (35'), Forrest (53'), Shankland (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bakayoko (45+3'), McCowan (57'), Donnelly (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 3-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-3 St Mirren
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-0 Dundee

Having failed to score in the last three matches, it is unlikely that Shankland stays quiet for much longer, meaning that Hearts have a good chance of victory on Saturday. Dundee's exceptional season is beginning to peter out, and we are expecting a third straight loss in the Premiership for the Dark Blues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawDundee
53.09% (-0.26499999999999 -0.26) 22.56% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 24.35% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 59.17% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (-0.158 -0.16)40.68% (0.154 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.93% (-0.161 -0.16)63.07% (0.158 0.16)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63% (-0.146 -0.15)15.37% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.85% (-0.272 -0.27)44.14% (0.268 0.27)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.067999999999998 0.07)30.09% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77% (0.082000000000001 0.08)66.23% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 53.09%
    Dundee 24.35%
    Draw 22.56%
HeartsDrawDundee
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.66% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 53.09%
1-1 @ 10.4% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 24.35%

How you voted: Hearts vs Dundee

Hearts
91.4%
Draw
2.9%
Dundee
5.7%
35
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Dundee
2-3
Hearts
McGhee (26'), Cameron (59')
Bakayoko (33'), Boateng (43'), McCowan (80')
Forrest (55'), Shankland (79' pen., 87')
Naismith (34'), Cochrane (84')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Hearts
3-2
Dundee
Nieuwenhof (57'), Lembikisa (74'), Oda (86')
Lembikisa (49')
McGhee (19'), Cameron (38')
McGhee (41'), Costelloe (45+4'), Bakayoko (60'), Dodgson (65'), Main (77'), Ashcroft (79')
Aug 27, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Dundee
1-0
Hearts
McCowan (63')
Beck (39')

Oda (39')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Hearts
1-2
Dundee
Simms (21')
Sibbick (51' og.), Mullen (78')
Adam (40'), Rudden (66'), Byrne (90+3')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Dundee
0-1
Hearts

Anderson (47'), McGowan (54'), Griffiths (58'), Mullen (85')
Walker (75')
Walker (59'), Souttar (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen12101125121331
3RangersRangers12723179823
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd135531914520
5Motherwell126151616019
6St Mirren145361923-418
7Dundee134362225-315
8Ross County143651222-1015
9St Johnstone144191727-1013
10Kilmarnock133371526-1112
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian131571222-108


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