MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 03:35:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 32
May 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
5 - 1
Abha

Albirakan (8'), Al-Johani (45+1'), Alnabit (72'), Mahrez (85'), Kessie (87')
Ibanez (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mendy (90+1' og.)
Al-Ali (13'), Kamano (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Abha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Shabab 1-2 Al-Ahli
Saturday, May 11 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 0-0 Damac
Friday, May 10 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 3-1 Abha

Although Abha have stabilised under the management of Mosimane, they may want to prioritise other games such as their upcoming clash against already relegated, last-placed Al-Hazem on May 27. Additionally, Al-Ahli will likely put maximum effort into securing a positive result against their opponents given that victory will all but ensure their place in next season's AFC Champions League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 78.64%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Abha had a probability of 7.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAbha
78.64% (-0.214 -0.21) 13.81% (0.128 0.13) 7.55% (0.08 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.97% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.04% (-0.336 -0.34)34.96% (0.331 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.06% (-0.375 -0.38)56.94% (0.371 0.37)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.9% (-0.119 -0.12)7.1% (0.1139 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.12% (-0.307 -0.31)25.88% (0.3 0.3)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)49.43% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.74% (-0.028 -0.03)84.26% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 78.63%
    Abha 7.55%
    Draw 13.81%
Al-AhliDrawAbha
2-0 @ 12.27% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 10.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.28% (0.099 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.16% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-1 @ 5.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.79% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.67% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.67% (-0.034 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 78.63%
1-1 @ 6.54% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.059 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 13.81%
0-1 @ 2.47% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.3% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 7.55%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Abha

Al-Ahli
100%
Draw
0.0%
Abha
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Abha
0-6
Al-Ahli

Sami (73'), Bguir (80')
Veiga (20', 45'), Albirakan (22', 28'), Kessie (38'), Mahrez (64')
Hindi (37'), Ibanez (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal98102471725
2Al Ittihad98012281424
3Al-Nassr95402081219
4Al ShababAl Shabab9603126618
5Al Quadisiya9513117416
6Al Riyadh94231314-114
7Al Khaleej94141011-113
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun9333109112
9Al-AhliAl-Ahli9324129311
10Al RaedAl Raed93241313011
11Al Ettifaq9324812-411
12Al Orubah9315919-1010
13Al Okhdood92251113-28
14Damac92251316-38
15Al Kholood91441217-57
16Al Fayha9144717-107
17Al WahdaAl Wahda91351224-126
18Al Fateh9126716-95


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