MX23RW : Friday, November 22 17:09:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 32
May 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
5 - 1
Abha

Albirakan (8'), Al-Johani (45+1'), Alnabit (72'), Mahrez (85'), Kessie (87')
Ibanez (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mendy (90+1' og.)
Al-Ali (13'), Kamano (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Abha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Shabab 1-2 Al-Ahli
Saturday, May 11 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 0-0 Damac
Friday, May 10 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 3-1 Abha

Although Abha have stabilised under the management of Mosimane, they may want to prioritise other games such as their upcoming clash against already relegated, last-placed Al-Hazem on May 27. Additionally, Al-Ahli will likely put maximum effort into securing a positive result against their opponents given that victory will all but ensure their place in next season's AFC Champions League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 78.64%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Abha had a probability of 7.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAbha
78.64% (-0.214 -0.21) 13.81% (0.128 0.13) 7.55% (0.08 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.97% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.04% (-0.336 -0.34)34.96% (0.331 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.06% (-0.375 -0.38)56.94% (0.371 0.37)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.9% (-0.119 -0.12)7.1% (0.1139 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.12% (-0.307 -0.31)25.88% (0.3 0.3)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)49.43% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.74% (-0.028 -0.03)84.26% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 78.63%
    Abha 7.55%
    Draw 13.81%
Al-AhliDrawAbha
2-0 @ 12.27% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 10.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.28% (0.099 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.16% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-1 @ 5.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.79% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.67% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.67% (-0.034 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 78.63%
1-1 @ 6.54% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.059 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 13.81%
0-1 @ 2.47% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.3% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 7.55%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Abha

Al-Ahli
100%
Draw
0.0%
Abha
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Abha
0-6
Al-Ahli

Sami (73'), Bguir (80')
Veiga (20', 45'), Albirakan (22', 28'), Kessie (38'), Mahrez (64')
Hindi (37'), Ibanez (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al-AhliAl-Ahli11524159617
7Al Khaleej105141212016
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha11146720-137
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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