MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 08:47:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Al-Ahli
1 - 0
Al Ittihad

Albirakan (34')
Al-Asmari (6'), Majrashi (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Amri (79'), Al-Sagour (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al-Ahli
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-1 Al Fayha
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 1-1 Al Ittihad

There is little to pick between the sides heading into Monday's contest, which could easily head either way. We can see both teams matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Ittihad
44.02% (0.503 0.5) 25.25% (-0.134 -0.13) 30.73% (-0.368 -0.37)
Both teams to score 55.24% (0.271 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (0.433 0.43)48.2% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64% (0.397 0.4)70.35% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.41800000000001 0.42)21.88% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (0.631 0.63)55.13% (-0.629 -0.63)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)29.29% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)65.25% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 44.02%
    Al Ittihad 30.73%
    Draw 25.24%
Al-AhliDrawAl Ittihad
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.02%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Ittihad

Al-Ahli
57.9%
Draw
26.3%
Al Ittihad
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Al Ittihad
0-1
Al-Ahli

Fabinho (35'), Coronado (75')
Kessie (31')
Jaissle (36'), Mendy (61'), Mahrez (70'), Veiga (86'), Aljohani (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal98102471725
2Al Ittihad98012281424
3Al-Nassr95402081219
4Al ShababAl Shabab9603126618
5Al Quadisiya9513117416
6Al Riyadh94231314-114
7Al Khaleej94141011-113
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun9333109112
9Al-AhliAl-Ahli9324129311
10Al RaedAl Raed93241313011
11Al Ettifaq9324812-411
12Al Orubah9315919-1010
13Al Okhdood92251113-28
14Damac92251316-38
15Al Kholood91441217-57
16Al Fayha9144717-107
17Al WahdaAl Wahda91351224-126
18Al Fateh9126716-95


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