MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:01:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 28
May 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Al-Ahli
1 - 2
Al-Hilal

Albirakan (30')
Kessie (70'), Demiral (70'), Yaslam (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mitrovic (52'), Malcom (89')
Tambakti (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Ahli 4-1 Damac
Thursday, May 2 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 1-3 Al-Hilal

Buoyed by their impressive victory over Damac, Al-Ahli will head into Monday's game looking to dent Al-Hilal's title charge. However, Jesus's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to come away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl-Hilal
22.68% (-0.361 -0.36) 24.14% (0.539 0.54) 53.17% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-2.151 -2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (-2.636 -2.64)49.31% (2.627 2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63% (-2.423 -2.42)71.36% (2.414 2.41)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-1.795 -1.8)36.28% (1.786 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-1.866 -1.87)73.06% (1.856 1.86)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.51% (-1.057 -1.06)18.48% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.3% (-1.81 -1.81)49.69% (1.801 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 22.68%
    Al-Hilal 53.17%
    Draw 24.13%
Al-AhliDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.398 0.4)
2-1 @ 5.82% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.45% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.68%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.692 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.284 -0.28)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.82 0.82)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 9.56% (0.382 0.38)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-3 @ 5.38% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-4 @ 2.27% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.17%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al-Hilal

Al-Ahli
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Hilal
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 11
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al-Ahli
Milinkovic-Savic (1'), Mitrovic (37'), Ibanez (84' og.)
Saint-Maximin (58')
Ibanez (32'), Hindi (45+4'), Al-Asmari (88'), Kessie (90+1')
Aug 13, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Al-Hilal
0-1
Al-Ahli

Al Dawsari (89'), Babhir (90'), Gomis (93')
Asiri (42')
Al Fatil (37'), Souza (55'), Muwashar (68'), Al Owais (93')
Aug 6, 2019 5.40pm
Round of 16
Al-Ahli
2-4
Al-Hilal
Al Somah (6'), Djaniny (39')
Al Khabrani (2'), Aleksic (45'), Al Somah (61'), Souza (90')
Gomis (15', 48', 65'), Al-Hafith (81')
Albulayhi (34'), Al Dosari (36'), Otayf (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal1191129111828
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr1164122101222
4Al ShababAl Shabab11713157822
5Al Quadisiya11713158722
6Al Khaleej116141514119
7Al-AhliAl-Ahli11524159617
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun114341110115
9Al RaedAl Raed114251616014
10Al Riyadh104241315-214
11Damac103251618-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah113171024-1410
14Al Okhdood112361215-39
15Al WahdaAl Wahda112361527-129
16Al Kholood101451219-77
17Al Fayha11146720-137
18Al Fateh10127818-105


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!