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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Fahd International Stadium

Al Shabab
3 - 4
Al-Hilal

Al-Juwayr (3'), Al-Sibyani (64'), Saiss (78')
Santos (36')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Mitrovic (20' pen., 27'), Milinkovic-Savic (42'), Al-Dawsari (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Hazem 0-3 Al Shabab
Thursday, March 14 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Damac
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Shabab 0-2 Al-Hilal

 Al Shabab have fallen a long way this season and need string together a few positive results to pull away from the relegation scrap. Unfortunately for the hosts, though, they are facing an opponent that have taken on all-comers this season and have looked almost unbeaten at times. Al-Hilal are massive favourites heading into this match and we feel they will claim yet another straightforward victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-3 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for an Al Shabab win it was 2-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl-Hilal
10.75% (-0.022 -0.02) 15.32% (0.084 0.08) 73.92% (-0.065999999999988 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-0.45200000000001 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.86% (-0.512 -0.51)31.14% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.44% (-0.607 -0.61)52.55% (0.605 0.61)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)39.89% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44% (-0.375 -0.38)76.56% (0.371 0.37)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.81% (-0.133 -0.13)7.19% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.89% (-0.345 -0.34)26.11% (0.341 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 10.75%
    Al-Hilal 73.92%
    Draw 15.32%
Al ShababDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 2.64% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 10.75%
1-1 @ 6.94% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.87% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.32%
0-2 @ 9.94% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.72% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 8.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.16 0.16)
0-4 @ 5.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-4 @ 5.28% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.68% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-5 @ 3.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.78% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.42% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-6 @ 1.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 73.92%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal

Al Shabab
7.7%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Hilal
92.3%
13
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 8
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Shabab
Koulibaly (68'), Mitrovic (76')
Albulayhi (45+7')

Al-Muwallad (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1312013292336
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal13111134142034
3Al Quadisiya139131981128
4Al-Nassr1374225121325
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli137242011923
6Al ShababAl Shabab137241811723
7Al Riyadh136341616021
8Al Khaleej136161617-119
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun135351414018
10Damac134362023-315
11Al Ettifaq134361120-915
12Al RaedAl Raed134271820-214
13Al Orubah134181125-1413
14Al Okhdood133371619-312
15Al Kholood132471525-1010
16Al WahdaAl Wahda132381731-149
17Al Fayha13157923-148
18Al Fateh131391124-136
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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