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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 21
Feb 26, 2024 at 2pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Al Ettifaq
0 - 2
Al-Hilal


Toko Ekambi (42'), Al Shamrani (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Milinkovic-Savic (39'), Al-Dawsari (45+5')
Mitrovic (45+3'), Neves (52'), Koulibaly (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ettifaq and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Khaleej 0-2 Al Ettifaq
Thursday, February 15 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Sepahan
Thursday, February 22 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al Ettifaq 0-2 Al-Hilal

Al-Hilal have looked a cut above the rest in the Saudi Pro League this season, and with a record of 18 wins and two losses in 20 games, it is difficult to back against them securing another win here against an opponent that have only just snapped up an eight-match winless league run. While last week's victory would have gone a long way to improving the mood around the Al Ettifaq camp, we feel they will be no match for the Blue Waves in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match.

Result
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Hilal
12.77% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 18.07% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 69.16% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.77% (-0.382 -0.38)39.23% (0.381 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.44% (-0.402 -0.4)61.56% (0.401 0.4)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.93% (-0.358 -0.36)42.07% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5% (-0.314 -0.31)78.5% (0.31099999999999 0.31)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.72% (-0.09899999999999 -0.1)10.27% (0.097 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.34% (-0.223 -0.22)33.65% (0.22 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Al Ettifaq 12.77%
    Al-Hilal 69.16%
    Draw 18.07%
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 3.74% (0.03 0.03)
2-1 @ 3.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 12.77%
1-1 @ 8.52% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.07%
0-2 @ 11.19% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 8.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.35% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.83% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.18% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-5 @ 2.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.81% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 69.16%

How you voted: Al Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal

Al Ettifaq
10.3%
Draw
6.9%
Al-Hilal
82.8%
29
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Ettifaq
Malcom (24'), Al-Dawsari (41')
Aldawsari (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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