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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 21
Feb 26, 2024 at 2pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Al Ettifaq
0 - 2
Al-Hilal


Toko Ekambi (42'), Al Shamrani (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Milinkovic-Savic (39'), Al-Dawsari (45+5')
Mitrovic (45+3'), Neves (52'), Koulibaly (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ettifaq and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Khaleej 0-2 Al Ettifaq
Thursday, February 15 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Sepahan
Thursday, February 22 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al Ettifaq 0-2 Al-Hilal

Al-Hilal have looked a cut above the rest in the Saudi Pro League this season, and with a record of 18 wins and two losses in 20 games, it is difficult to back against them securing another win here against an opponent that have only just snapped up an eight-match winless league run. While last week's victory would have gone a long way to improving the mood around the Al Ettifaq camp, we feel they will be no match for the Blue Waves in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match.

Result
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Hilal
12.77% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 18.07% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 69.16% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.77% (-0.382 -0.38)39.23% (0.381 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.44% (-0.402 -0.4)61.56% (0.401 0.4)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.93% (-0.358 -0.36)42.07% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5% (-0.314 -0.31)78.5% (0.31099999999999 0.31)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.72% (-0.09899999999999 -0.1)10.27% (0.097 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.34% (-0.223 -0.22)33.65% (0.22 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Al Ettifaq 12.77%
    Al-Hilal 69.16%
    Draw 18.07%
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 3.74% (0.03 0.03)
2-1 @ 3.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 12.77%
1-1 @ 8.52% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.07%
0-2 @ 11.19% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 8.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.35% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.83% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.18% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-5 @ 2.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.81% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 69.16%

How you voted: Al Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal

Al Ettifaq
10.3%
Draw
6.9%
Al-Hilal
82.8%
29
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Ettifaq
Malcom (24'), Al-Dawsari (41')
Aldawsari (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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