AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium
Sepahan1 - 3Al-Hilal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al-Nassr
Thursday, February 8 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Thursday, February 8 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Sepahan 0-4 Al-Hilal
Even without Neymar, Al-Hilal have plenty of dependable attacking options, and we do not believe the Iranians will be able to contain a side that have blown away most of their opponents throughout the campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Sepahan win it was 2-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
Result | ||
Sepahan | Draw | Al-Hilal |
15.49% ( 0.07) | 19.41% ( 0.05) | 65.1% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.73% ( -0.11) | 39.27% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.4% ( -0.12) | 61.6% ( 0.12) |
Sepahan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.76% ( 0.02) | 38.24% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25% ( 0.02) | 75% ( -0.02) |
Al-Hilal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.67% ( -0.07) | 11.33% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.01% ( -0.14) | 35.99% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Sepahan 15.49%
Al-Hilal 65.1%
Draw 19.41%
Sepahan | Draw | Al-Hilal |
2-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.49% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.41% | 0-2 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.13% Total : 65.1% |
How you voted: Sepahan vs Al-Hilal
Sepahan
0.0%Draw
3.6%Al-Hilal
96.4%28
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-27 14:09:59
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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