AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Al Ittihad2 - 1Sepahan
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al Ittihad and Sepahan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al Ittihad 4-2 Al Khaleej
Thursday, November 30 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Thursday, November 30 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Sepahan 1-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Monday, November 27 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Monday, November 27 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Sepahan win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
Result | ||
Al Ittihad | Draw | Sepahan |
58.28% ( 4.96) | 22.88% ( -1.64) | 18.84% ( -3.33) |
Both teams to score 50.19% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.2% ( 2.57) | 48.79% ( -2.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.1% ( 2.28) | 70.9% ( -2.29) |
Al Ittihad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.55% ( 2.76) | 16.44% ( -2.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.87% ( 4.78) | 46.12% ( -4.78) |
Sepahan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.06% ( -2.01) | 39.93% ( 2.01) |