While a run of five wins in their last five games against Abha should give a floundering Al-Ittihad side the needed confidence boost heading into the weekend, they should expect a fight from the visitors, who have hit their stride after a slow start to the season. However, the Tigers boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to come out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 78.33%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al Ittihad	Draw	Abha
78.33% ( -0.51)	14.06% ( 0.26)	7.61% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 46.23% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.95% (

-0.31)

36.04% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.85% (

-0.34)

58.15% (

0.34)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.6% (

-0.17)

7.4% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.32% (

-0.46)

26.67% (

0.45)

Abha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.93% (

0.42)

50.07% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.29% (

0.29)

84.71% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Al Ittihad 78.33%

Abha 7.61%

Draw 14.06%

Al Ittihad	Draw	Abha
2-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.73% Total : 78.33%	1-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.67% Total : 14.06%	0-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.73% Total : 7.61%