Al Fateh have put together a fine run of results in recent weeks but are now faced with a difficult challenge of a sterner and more formidable opposition in Al Ittihad. The Tigers have enjoyed the better of this fixture, going unbeaten in 16 of their last 20 meetings, and we fancy them claiming all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al Ittihad	Draw	Al Fateh
45.5% ( -0.34)	25.15% ( 0.24)	29.35% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 54.8% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.57% (

-0.99)

48.43% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.43% (

-0.91)

70.56% (

0.91)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

-0.56)

21.3% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.76% (

-0.87)

54.24% (

0.87)

Al Fateh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63% (

-0.44)

30.37% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.44% (

-0.52)

66.56% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Al Ittihad 45.5%

Al Fateh 29.35%

Draw 25.15%

Al Ittihad	Draw	Al Fateh
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.5%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.35%