For all of their exceptional rearguard exploits in 2023, Al-Hilal's defensive ranks have been decimated by international call-ups, but Jesus can still call upon most of his star foreigners in the middle and final third of the field. A lack of match practice has harmed Inter Miami's rhythm - not that Martino's men showed much of it in the latter stages of 2023 anyway - and while Al-Hilal have also had a few weeks without any on-field commitments, the Saudi Pro League leaders are the firm favourites and ought to pick up where they left off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 66.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 3-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-Hilal	Draw	Inter Miami
66.31% ( 0.51)	18.1% ( -0.15)	15.59% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 59.99% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.32% (

-0.04)

32.68% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.64% (

-0.04)

54.36% (

0.04)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.81% (

0.11)

9.19% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.88% (

0.25)

31.12% (

-0.25)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

-0.45)

33.94% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.38% (

-0.49)

70.62% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Al-Hilal 66.31%

Inter Miami 15.59%

Draw 18.1%

Al-Hilal	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 4.92% Total : 66.31%	1-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.1%	1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.59%