For all of their exceptional rearguard exploits in 2023, Al-Hilal's defensive ranks have been decimated by international call-ups, but Jesus can still call upon most of his star foreigners in the middle and final third of the field.
A lack of match practice has harmed Inter Miami's rhythm - not that Martino's men showed much of it in the latter stages of 2023 anyway - and while Al-Hilal have also had a few weeks without any on-field commitments, the Saudi Pro League leaders are the firm favourites and ought to pick up where they left off.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 66.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 3-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
0.51) 
-0.15) 
