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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 29
Apr 26, 2024 at 4pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
3 - 1
Al Fateh

Michael (58'), Neves (74' pen.), Albulayhi (90+15')
Michael (33'), Al-Dawsari (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zelarayan (57')
Bilic (34'), Baattia (38'), Tello (72'), Zelarayan (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Fateh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Ain
Tuesday, April 23 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Fateh 3-1 Al Raed
Thursday, April 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al Fateh

Al-Hilal will be looking to bounce straight back from their AFC Champions League disappointment in this match and will know that regaining momentum will be crucial leading up to their King's Cup semi-final next week. Al Fateh are never an easy team to face, but we fancy the Blue Waves to grind out a result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 83.41%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 6.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.81%) and 4-1 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-2 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Fateh
83.41% (0.0030000000000001 0) 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0) 6.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Both teams to score 61.76% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
83.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)16.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.5% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)33.49% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.07%2.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.25% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)36.38% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)73.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 83.41%
    Al Fateh 6.64%
    Draw 9.95%
Al-HilalDrawAl Fateh
3-1 @ 7.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 7.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 6.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 6.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.71% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
5-1 @ 4.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 3.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-1 @ 2.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 2.87%
5-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
6-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
7-1 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 5.56%
Total : 83.41%
1-1 @ 3.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 9.95%
1-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 6.64%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Fateh

Al-Hilal
93.8%
Draw
3.1%
Al Fateh
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Al Fateh
0-2
Al-Hilal

Zelarayan (90+1')
Mitrovic (5' pen.), Al-Dawsari (90+3')
Koulibaly (26'), Albulayhi (34'), Bono (45+3'), Neves (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal29272089187183
2Al-Nassr30242490355574
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli29167658312755
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun30149748341451
5Al Ittihad301551056431350
6Al ShababAl Shabab30118114136541
7Al Fateh30118115046441
8Al Ettifaq30101193632441
9Al Fayha30118114047-741
10Damac30108124139238
11Al Khaleej3099123240-836
12Al WahdaAl Wahda3095164155-1432
13Al RaedAl Raed3087153847-931
14Al Riyadh3078152853-2529
15Al Okhdood3084182747-2028
16Abha3084183479-4528
17Al Tai3076172957-2827
18Al Hazem30311162968-3920


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