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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 29
Apr 26, 2024 at 4pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
3 - 1
Al Fateh

Michael (58'), Neves (74' pen.), Albulayhi (90+15')
Michael (33'), Al-Dawsari (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zelarayan (57')
Bilic (34'), Baattia (38'), Tello (72'), Zelarayan (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Fateh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Ain
Tuesday, April 23 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Fateh 3-1 Al Raed
Thursday, April 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al Fateh

Al-Hilal will be looking to bounce straight back from their AFC Champions League disappointment in this match and will know that regaining momentum will be crucial leading up to their King's Cup semi-final next week. Al Fateh are never an easy team to face, but we fancy the Blue Waves to grind out a result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 83.41%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 6.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.81%) and 4-1 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-2 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Fateh
83.41% (0.0030000000000001 0) 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0) 6.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Both teams to score 61.76% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
83.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)16.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.5% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)33.49% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.07%2.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.25% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)36.38% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)73.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 83.41%
    Al Fateh 6.64%
    Draw 9.95%
Al-HilalDrawAl Fateh
3-1 @ 7.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 7.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 6.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 6.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.71% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
5-1 @ 4.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 3.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-1 @ 2.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 2.87%
5-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
6-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
7-1 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 5.56%
Total : 83.41%
1-1 @ 3.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 9.95%
1-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 6.64%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Fateh

Al-Hilal
93.8%
Draw
3.1%
Al Fateh
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Al Fateh
0-2
Al-Hilal

Zelarayan (90+1')
Mitrovic (5' pen.), Al-Dawsari (90+3')
Koulibaly (26'), Albulayhi (34'), Bono (45+3'), Neves (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1312013292336
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal13111134142034
3Al Quadisiya139131981128
4Al-Nassr1374225121325
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli137242011923
6Al ShababAl Shabab137241811723
7Al Riyadh136341616021
8Al Khaleej136161617-119
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun135351414018
10Damac134362023-315
11Al Ettifaq134361120-915
12Al RaedAl Raed134271820-214
13Al Orubah134181125-1413
14Al Okhdood133371619-312
15Al Kholood132471525-1010
16Al WahdaAl Wahda132381731-149
17Al Fayha13157923-148
18Al Fateh131391124-136


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