Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.