La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 16, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
3 - 0
Atletico

Duro (5', 34'), Guerra (54')
Mamardashvili (56')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hermoso (23'), Llorente (36'), Griezmann (37'), Niguez (74'), Barrios (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Valencia
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-7 Atletico
Monday, August 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Valencia 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico were stunning against Rayo last time out, and while we are not predicting a similar outcome here, the capital giants should have enough quality to secure another three points against a Valencia side that have been disappointing in their last two matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Atletico Madrid
31.16% ( -0.01)	26.71% ( -0)	42.13% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.91% (

0.02)

54.09% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.49% (

0.01)

75.52% (

-0.01)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02% (

31.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56%

68.44% (

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.62% (

0.02)

25.38% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.82% (

0.02)

60.19% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Valencia 31.16%

Atletico Madrid 42.12%

Draw 26.71%

Valencia	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.16%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.12%