Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Roma

Ranieri (18'), Mandragora (69')
Bonaventura (57'), Milenkovic (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aouar (58'), Llorente (90+5')
Mancini (6'), Paredes (37'), Huijsen (45'), N'Dicka (68'), Baldanzi (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: M. Haifa 3-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Brighton
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

A repeat of the result in December's reverse fixture could be on the cards, as Fiorentina are far tougher to beat on home turf and Roma do not always produce their best outside the capital. The Giallorossi's rapid progress may therefore hit a minor bump in the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Roma
45.46% ( 0.25)	26.07% ( 0.05)	28.46% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 51.32% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.29% (

-0.35)

52.7% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.65% (

-0.31)

74.34% (

0.3)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87% (

-0.04)

23.12% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01% (

-0.05)

56.98% (

0.05)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.76% (

-0.41)

33.23% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.15% (

-0.46)

69.84% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 45.46%

Roma 28.46%

Draw 26.07%

Fiorentina	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.46%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 28.46%