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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Salford City

Grimsby Town
1 - 4
Salford City

Khan (21')
Glennon (22')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Smith (1', 34', 40'), Galbraith (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Salford City

In a match with permutations at both ends of the table, we expect both sides to create plenty of chances in what will be a tight affair. This will be reflected in the scoreline, as Grimsby and Salford will prove inseparable and will come out of the match with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawSalford City
35.19% (0.19 0.19) 26.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 37.85% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)54.24% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.041 -0.04)75.64% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (0.094999999999999 0.09)29.37% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (0.117 0.12)65.36% (-0.116 -0.12)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (-0.14 -0.14)27.78% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (-0.181 -0.18)63.37% (0.183 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 35.19%
    Salford City 37.85%
    Draw 26.95%
Grimsby TownDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.85%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Salford City

Grimsby Town
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Salford City
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Salford City
1-1
Grimsby Town
Touray (88')
Lowe (26'), Touray (73')
Clifton (2')
Clifton (19'), Payne (50'), Matete (73')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-4
Salford City

Tilley (48')
Ohman (90+2')
Henderson (32' pen., 63', 76'), Towell (90+3' pen.)
Hunter (28'), Towell (56'), Touray (89')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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