FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Victoria Park
Hartlepool2 - 1Blackpool
We said: Hartlepool United 1-2 Blackpool
With both sides holding little hope of promotion but also not in any relegation danger, they could each fancy a cup run this season which should make this an entertaining tie. Blackpool's quality is likely to pull them through, but Hartlepool's home form means the Monkey Hangers should not be written off. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Blackpool |
| 40.46% | 26.6% | 32.94% |
| Both teams to score 51.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
