Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.