Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
35.47% (![]() | 22.81% (![]() | 41.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.81% (![]() | 35.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.8% (![]() | 57.2% (![]() |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% (![]() | 20.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.32% (![]() | 52.67% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.5% (![]() | 17.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.01% (![]() | 47.99% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 7.87% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.51% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.47% | 1-1 @ 9.87% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 8.61% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 41.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |