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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 1
Haverfordwest

Arnison (24'), Owen (50')
Evans (28'), Arnison (76'), Flint (78'), Owen (81')
Evans (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Davies (58')
Scotcher (61')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
32.56% (-0.117 -0.12) 24.25% (0.0010000000000012 0) 43.19% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 59.48% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)43.01% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)65.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)25.56% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.123 -0.12)60.43% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (0.028000000000006 0.03)20.09% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67% (0.051000000000002 0.05)52.33% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 32.56%
    Haverfordwest County 43.19%
    Draw 24.25%
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.56%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.54% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 43.19%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-1
Aberystwyth

Rees (54'), (55'), Wilson (90+4')
Bradford (82')
Davies (55'), Corbisiero (61'), Davies (63')
Mar 15, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-6
Haverfordwest

Bradford (49'), Jones (74'), Veale (88'), Evans (90+3')
Jenkins (79')
Touray Sisay (16', 46', 62'), Davies (80' pen.), Shepherd (84'), Jones (89')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Aberystwyth

Rees (61'), Lewis (63'), Shepherd (65')

Rimmer (42'), Franklin (42'), Thorn (90'), Thorn (90')
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-0
Haverfordwest
Phillips (65'), Jones (74' pen.)
Thorn (19'), Rimmer (67'), Wynne (88')

Watts (62')
Jones (73')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
2-2
Haverfordwest
Jones (8'), Reed (43' pen.)
Kearney (28'), Bradford (30'), Williams (56')
Wilson (32'), Williams (45')
Wilson (27'), Tancock (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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