Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.