Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Mar 31, 2024 at 7pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
Progreso3 - 1Maldonado
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Progreso 4-2 Rampla
Wednesday, March 27 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Wednesday, March 27 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Maldonado 1-0 Defensor
Sunday, March 24 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, March 24 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.
Result | ||
Progreso | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
51.87% ( -0.05) | 24.94% ( -0.12) | 23.18% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 50.09% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.95% ( 0.62) | 52.05% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.22% ( 0.53) | 73.78% ( -0.53) |
Progreso Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.94% ( 0.23) | 20.05% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.72% ( 0.36) | 52.28% ( -0.36) |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.66% ( 0.5) | 37.34% ( -0.51) |